To kick off the January “Focus on Finance” feature, Edmonton Jewish News asked Investment Adviser Joel Reboh for his financial forecast for 2016. On December 26, 2015 he provided this response:
Apple, Google, and Microsoft are now larger market cap than Exxon Mobile. Amazon and Facebook are trailing close behind. The investment world is a really exciting place right now, but if you’re not a technology maven (did you know maven is Yiddish?) or have been investing mostly in Canada, then you may be feeling muddled.
What is going on?
The technology giants I’ve mentioned above seem to be on a never ending quest, racing to conquer as much digital space as possible. And let me tell you, Zuckerberg, Brin, and Page, the gut gesheft mensches who started Google and Facebook, are experts at minimizing their competitors! We’re talking about serial monopolists here. Moreover, Amazon’s Jeff Bezos went from a guy who peacefully sold books out of his house to brick and mortar retail’s worst nightmare. Just look at Walmart, typically a staple investment for pension funds, declined 35% last year; no doubt shopping on Amazon has had some impact on their in-store sales. These entrepreneurs are filling a vacuum of territory that to this day is only just starting to be discovered and its scope fully understood. So much so, that when I tell a prospect that a name like Facebook has been a top holding of mine for many years, they look at me like I peddle penny stocks. You know that look…the one your bubby gave you when she disapproved.
Remember, one of the main reasons we invest in the stock market is because it is flexible. The market has provided great returns over the past several years, but with volatility likely to rise in 2016, inexperienced investors should consider taking some risk off the table by purchasing safer investments (i.e. add to fixed income positions). The market’s run may have been hinged on quantitative easing and China’s growth, the first is gone and the latter is in question.
So what to look out for in 2016?
- A possible return to value investing in the US instead of investing for growth in the US. More of an expert stock picker’s environment.
- Robotics: I just purchased my daughters their first programmable robot and the trend does not seem to be slowing down. Can the latest in robot technology give a traditional business a leg up on its competitor?
- Oil prices and the high US dollar should give tailwinds to Japan, Europe and India. We’ll see if they can take the bull by its horns. If they don’t succeed under these circumstances, it could be worrisome.
- Israel’s modern economy is in a great position to foster more long term growth.
- A weak Canadian currency could possibly get weaker. Interest rates in Canada may fall.
- The only thing that excites me in Canada is a few manufacturing companies and the supposed potential of the marijuana industry… it’s hard for technology to disrupt that.
The views, recommendations and opinions expressed herein are those of Joel Reboh, Investment Advisor, and do not necessarily reflect those of TD Wealth Private Investment Advice and are not specifically endorsed by TD Wealth Private Investment Advice. The views, recommendations and opinions are subject to change based on market and other conditions and are for information purposes only.
Joel Reboh is an Investment Advisor with TD Wealth Private Investment Advice. Joel and his wife, Christina, are engaged in many volunteer activities inside and outside of the Jewish Community. Joel is the President of WEJCC, the largest Edmonton Jewish Facebook group and has been engaged in Junior Achievement for over six years. Christina, is Chair of the Israel Heritage Fest Pavilion, Chair of Beth Israel’s Purim event, and heads Edmonton’s Pomegranate Women, a social and spiritual group for young adult women. They are the proud parents of three loving and energetic girls.